Republicans Up Six Points in Generic Ballot And Other Good Poll Numbers
November 10, 2009Polls, polls, polls.
Good news, good news, good news, at least if you’re a Republican.
Perhaps the best of all news is that for the 20th consecutive week, Republicans lead in Rasmussen’s generic ballot survey. If the election were held today, 43 percent say they would vote for a Republican for Congress, only 37 percent for a Democrat. That’s up two points from last week (42-38) and approaches the widest margin in years. It’s also the margin Dems led by when they won a 78 seat majority in the 2008 Congressional elections.
Certainly this doesn’t portend a pick up of 78 seats in 2010 to put Republicans in control by 78 seats rather than down by 78 seats. Of course not, but it’s a great sign that we could be seeing the end of the Pelosi era.
Even more significantly, undeclared voters favor Republicans by more than a two to one margin, 43 to 20 percent, just about the same margin Republican gubernatorial candidates carried Independents by in both New Jersey and Virginia last week. It’s great when polls back each other up!
Not since June 21 have Democrats led in this important indicator of public opinion. The six point advantage comes in the wake of Speaker Nancy Pelois pushing through a midnight health care plan which is opposed by Americans, 45 to 52 percent in the most recent Rasmussen poll.
After a slight blip up in favorability ratings, President Obama is down again, to a minus 10. 40 percent strongly disapprove of him while only 30 pe4rcent strongly approve. 52 percent disapprove and 48 percent approve.
Rasmussen also discovered that, perhaps as an indication of how badly things are going now, voters favor “divided” government. Only 30 percent think it’s good when one party controls both houses of Congress and the Presidency. 45 percent have come to believe that divided government is the answer, something I’ve long believed in. Dynamic tension prevents the mischief of big government spending and control of our lives. There’s no dynamism now with Dem socialists in control.
58 percent of those surveyed believe it’s a least somewhat likely that a Republican will be elected President in 2012, up 14 points from when Obama was sworn into office in January.
By the way, Rasmussen was exactly correct in forecasting Christie’s win over Corzine in New Jersey last week.
Rasmussenreports.com is a great web site to get further details.
Pollster John Zogby also has bad numbers for Obama and Dems. In a survey just released, only 39 percent favor Obama’s work on health care. 59 percent disapprove, but it’s clearly the case of a pox on all your houses. Congressional Democrats are down 17-81 on the House care question adn Congressional Republicans are down 16-81. With such widespread animosity, isn’t the best solution to JUST DO NOTHING?
Of course it is.
Finally, here’s a wakeup call to Governor Lynch and other Republicans (an intentional error there) who continue to oppose medical marijuana. Zogby confirms what Rasmussen reported two weeks ago, that by a two and a half to one margin (68-27 in this case) support medical marijuana.
Let’s bring it back and pass it in NH in 2010.
steve vaillancourt
Nov 17, 2009
BULLETIN–Six point lead for Republicans holds in generic ballot. Nov. 17, it’s 44-38