First Reax to Manchester Results

Ward by Ward returns.

* Great news for Ted Gatsas.  46% is knocking on the door of an outright majority, and that’s with Stephen banging on his anti-tax base for the last month.

*Mark Roy avoids a major embarrassment for the Democratic Party by at least making it to the General Election.  Can be capture almost all of the Stephen vote? Doubtful.  There have to be some tax-cappers in there.

*Bobby Stephen proves that even in a non-partisan election, you need a partisan base to start from.

*Taxes are still a winning issue.  68% of the vote went to an anti-tax candidate.

*Manchester wards move the same way.  Other than a big spike for Roy in his home ward, the vote was pretty consistent citywide.  Gatsas won every ward handily. Stephen did great in Ward 9, but didn’t win beat Roy by more than a handful of votes elsewhere.  Roy took 500 more votes out of Ward 1 than Stephen, but beat him by 300 in the rest of the city as well.

*This is a just a subset of the November vote.  That race won’t be decided by carving up the Stephen vote between Gatsas and Roy.  It will be decided by the thousands of people who didn’t vote today, but will in November.

I’ve lived in Manchester for a total of four years, but it’s been a while.  I look forward to Steve and others improving on my analysis.